Presentation Title

The Effects of Changing County Economics on Presidential Voting

Student Presenter(s) and Advisor

Alex Rhodes, Lake Forest CollegeFollow

Location

Meyer Auditorium

Abstract

In last year’s election, very few election publications predicted Donald Trump having a significant chance of winning. Many of these predictions combined polling data with regressions based on economic data. Studies have shown that there is a statistically significant relationship between the economy and presidential voting. Most of these studies have been done at the state or national level. These can provide a picture of a large area’s economy but don’t provide insight on a community level. This paper will use county data to test for a relationship between the economy and voting in recent elections at a community level.

Presentation Type

Individual Presentation

Start Date

4-10-2018 10:30 AM

End Date

4-10-2018 11:45 AM

Panel

Public Media and Politics

Panel Moderator

Carol Gayle

Field of Study for Presentation

Economics

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Apr 10th, 10:30 AM Apr 10th, 11:45 AM

The Effects of Changing County Economics on Presidential Voting

Meyer Auditorium

In last year’s election, very few election publications predicted Donald Trump having a significant chance of winning. Many of these predictions combined polling data with regressions based on economic data. Studies have shown that there is a statistically significant relationship between the economy and presidential voting. Most of these studies have been done at the state or national level. These can provide a picture of a large area’s economy but don’t provide insight on a community level. This paper will use county data to test for a relationship between the economy and voting in recent elections at a community level.