Presentation Title

The Effects of Changing County Economics on Presidential Voting

Location

Meyer Auditorium

Abstract

In last year’s election, very few election publications predicted Donald Trump having a significant chance of winning. Many of these predictions combined polling data with regressions based on economic data. Studies have shown that there is a statistically significant relationship between the economy and presidential voting. Most of these studies have been done at the state or national level. These can provide a picture of a large area’s economy but don’t provide insight on a community level. This paper will use county data to test for a relationship between the economy and voting in recent elections at a community level.

Presentation Type

Individual Presentation

Start Date

4-10-2018 10:30 AM

End Date

4-10-2018 11:45 AM

Panel

Public Media and Politics

Field of Study for Presentation

Economics

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Apr 10th, 10:30 AM Apr 10th, 11:45 AM

The Effects of Changing County Economics on Presidential Voting

Meyer Auditorium

In last year’s election, very few election publications predicted Donald Trump having a significant chance of winning. Many of these predictions combined polling data with regressions based on economic data. Studies have shown that there is a statistically significant relationship between the economy and presidential voting. Most of these studies have been done at the state or national level. These can provide a picture of a large area’s economy but don’t provide insight on a community level. This paper will use county data to test for a relationship between the economy and voting in recent elections at a community level.